
23 June 2008 |
| Record commodity export earnings in sight |
| Australia’s commodity export earnings are forecast to increase by 40 per cent to a record $212 billion in 2008-09. This and other commodity forecasts for 2008-09 are contained in the June issue of Australian Commodities released today by Ms Karen Schneider, Acting Executive Director of ABARE.
“Export earnings from the farm sector are forecast to be around $30 billion in 2008-09, a rise of 12 per cent on 2007-08,” Ms Schneider said. Although prospects are encouraging, Ms Schneider cautioned that “seasonal conditions will be a critical factor in achieving those estimates.” Agricultural commodities for which export earnings are forecast to increase in 2008-09 include wheat, barley, canola, pulses, grain sorghum, cotton lint and seed, sugar and wine. With winter crop production in Australia forecast to increase by 65 per cent in 2008-09 to 37 million tonnes, export earnings from these crops are forecast to increase by 66 per cent. However, Ms Schneider noted that: “While the forecast recovery in farm sector performance is very encouraging, the strength of Australia’s minerals and energy exports continues to underpin commodity sector performance”. The value of Australia’s minerals and energy exports is forecast to be around $178 billion in 2008-09, compared with an estimated $120 billion in 2007-08. “The price outlook across minerals and energy commodities remains positive, reflecting continued strong demand and only modest world supply growth,” Ms Schneider said. Following significant rises in 2007-08, further price increases in 2008-09 are forecast for many minerals and energy commodities, including iron ore, coal, crude oil, gold and aluminium. In addition to higher prices, the volume of Australian mineral resources exports, in aggregate, is forecast to rise markedly in 2008-09. |
| For media interviews and comment, please contact Dr Jammie Penm, ABARE’s Chief Commodity Analyst on 02 6272 2030 mobile 0408 686 219 or email jpenm@abare.gov.au For free downloads of the June Australian Commodities report, please visit the ABARE website www.abare.gov.au or phone Publications on 02 6272 2010. For general media enquiries, contact Maree Finnegan, Media Coordinator on 02 6272 2260 or email mfinnegan@abare.gov.au. |